Market news: South Korean minister asked the opposition party not to impeach officials to prevent a government vacuum.KPMG: Artificial intelligence has produced a convincing level of return on investment, and the return on investment value of generative AI is higher. On December 10th, KPMG, one of the top four international accounting firms, said that artificial intelligence (AI) has produced a convincing level of return on investment, and the return on investment of machine learning, deep learning and generative AI all met or exceeded expectations. "Among them, the return on investment value of generative AI is relatively higher." KPMG pointed out that at present, the application of generative artificial intelligence is growing, and generative artificial intelligence has become the top priority of the future layout of enterprises. KPMG stressed that with the accelerated growth of AI applications, the technology dividend will increase exponentially, and the return on investment of AI is very significant. At present, the industry changes brought by artificial intelligence are taking place, and it is very important to change from passive thinking to active thinking.The loose monetary signal ignited the bond market. The yield of 10-year government bonds hit 1.83% and hit a new low. Affected by the loose monetary signal, the yield of 10-year government bonds once again hit a record low. During the session on December 10th, the yield of the 10-year active bond "24 Treasury Bond 11 with Interest" (240011) fell by 7.5BP (basis point) and hit 1.8300%, hitting a record low. The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" (2400006) also went down all the way, falling to 2.0450%, down 4BP from the previous day. Treasury futures rose strongly all day, and the 30-year main contract closed up 1.37%, setting a record high. The ETF market of government bonds was all red, and the 30-year ETF rose by 1.87%. Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, held on the 9th, sent a signal of steady growth, which formed a favorable support for the bond market. For the economic work in 2025, the meeting first mentioned "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", and the tone of monetary policy changed from "steady" that lasted for 14 years to "moderately loose". The loose monetary signal pushes the bond market to strengthen. According to industry analysts, the debt bull will continue in the future, and the yield of 10-year government bonds can be seen as low as 1.6%. However, there are also views that if the economic fundamentals continue to run in 2024 next year, the bond market yield will rebound in the future and need to be treated with caution. (CBN)
Foreign capital is buying! Wall Street traders "lay out A shares" have gained huge floating profits. The latest data shows that Wall Street traders are "laying out A shares" through large call options. The data shows that from November 29th to last Friday, Wall Street traders bought nearly 180,000 Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3x Shares ETF (Yinn) call options. Wall Street traders also bought about 210,000 Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2x Shares (code CHAU) call options last week. Among them, CHAU did twice as much as the CSI 300 Index, while YINN did three times as much as the FTSE China A50 Index. U.S. stocks closed overnight, and YINN and CHAU rose by more than 23% and 13% respectively. According to calculation, the book income of the buyers of the above-mentioned YINN and CHAU call options contracts has reached 138 million dollars (about 1 billion yuan). Today, the A-share market opened, and the three major indexes all opened sharply higher. The GEM index rose above 4% at first, and then the market suddenly changed, and the three major indexes quickly fell back. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 0.75%, and the GEM index rose by 0.69%. Looking forward to the A-share market outlook, institutional analysis believes that macroeconomic policies are expected to maintain a positive tone of overweight and countercyclical adjustment, and institutional funds, active funds and retail funds are expected to resonate, driving the A-share "year-end and year-end market" to continue to be interpreted.Alaska Airlines rose more than 11% before the market, and raised its fourth-quarter profit forecast. Alaska Airlines Group (ALK.US) rose more than 11% before the market to $60.13. In the news, Alaska Airlines raised its profit forecast for the fourth quarter due to strong tourism demand and improved pricing. The company expects earnings per share to be between 40 and 50 cents in the fourth quarter, compared with the previous forecast of 20 to 40 cents; Earnings per share are expected to be at least $5.75 in 2025, higher than analysts' expectations of $5.50.Changhua Group: We received the designated notice from the flying car company. Changhua Group announced that the company recently received the designated development notice from a well-known domestic flying car company, and the designated products are mainly fasteners and metal structural parts. The life cycle of the designated project is 5 years, and the estimated total sales amount in the life cycle is about RMB 91 million. It is expected that it will not have a significant impact on the company's performance this year. If the subsequent substantive sales orders are successfully converted, it will help increase the operating income and operating efficiency in the future.
Biden's administration is striving to ensure a ceasefire in Gaza before January 20th. CNN quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that the administration led by US President Biden is "working increasingly closely" with officials of the new administration to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza before Trump is sworn in on January 20th.The loose monetary signal ignited the bond market. The yield of 10-year government bonds hit 1.83% and hit a new low. Affected by the loose monetary signal, the yield of 10-year government bonds once again hit a record low. During the session on December 10th, the yield of the 10-year active bond "24 Treasury Bond 11 with Interest" (240011) fell by 7.5BP (basis point) and hit 1.8300%, hitting a record low. The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" (2400006) also went down all the way, falling to 2.0450%, down 4BP from the previous day. Treasury futures rose strongly all day, and the 30-year main contract closed up 1.37%, setting a record high. The ETF market of government bonds was all red, and the 30-year ETF rose by 1.87%. Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, held on the 9th, sent a signal of steady growth, which formed a favorable support for the bond market. For the economic work in 2025, the meeting first mentioned "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", and the tone of monetary policy changed from "steady" that lasted for 14 years to "moderately loose". The loose monetary signal pushes the bond market to strengthen. According to industry analysts, the debt bull will continue in the future, and the yield of 10-year government bonds can be seen as low as 1.6%. However, there are also views that if the economic fundamentals continue to run in 2024 next year, the bond market yield will rebound in the future and need to be treated with caution. (CBN)Guotai Junan Wang Zhengzhi: IPO issuance is expected to pick up next year. It is estimated that 150~210 IPOs will be issued throughout the year. Wang Zhengzhi, chief analyst of Guotai Junan IPO research, made the latest interpretation of IPO new share strategy next year at the 2025 strategy meeting. Wang Zhengzhi said that in 2024, many measures were taken to promote the high-quality development of IPO, and the issuance speed increased slightly after the third quarter. It is expected that the issuance speed of new shares will pick up in 2025. The data shows that as of the end of November, there were 89 new shares listed in 2024, which was at a low level since 2019, and the issuance speed increased slightly after the third quarter. In 2024Q4IPO accepted and released the warming signal. In 2025, the pace of stock issuance in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is expected to pick up. It is estimated that there will be 15-210 issues in the whole year, and the total fundraising scale will be about 160 billion yuan. According to the neutral forecast, the 500-million-scale A-type account will increase its gross profit rate by about 3.32% in 2025, and the 200-million-scale B-type account will increase its gross profit rate by about 4.38% in 2025.